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NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI)

The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) aims to assess and monitor the current state of the single-family housing market. This index relies on a monthly survey of single-family builders, who are queried about their evaluations of three key aspects of the housing market:

According to the NAHB, builder confidence in the market for new single-family homes fell to 42 in July, down one point from the previous month. Higher-for-longer mortgage interest rates, as well as elevated rates for construction and development loans, continue to put a damper on builder sentiment.

All three HMI components in July remain below the key threshold of 50:

  • Present sales conditions fell one point to 47.
  • Expected sales in the next six months increased one point to 48.
  • Traffic of prospective buyers declined one point to 27.

The July survey also revealed that builders are increasingly cutting prices to bolster home sales (31% of builders did so in July compared to 29% in June and 25% in May). However, the average price reduction in July held steady at 6% for the 13th straight month.

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