This year, the United States will be the main geopolitical power. And President Donald Trump will run it. This will be the first big shift to nationalism in US politics. This rise in nationalism is global. Its rise stems from the rejection of the internationalist model. This has ruled international relations since the end of World War II. The US does not answer to any regional blocs or international powers. And yet, the US will still see a strong rise in nationalism. Trump’s election portends an economic crisis: Since its founding, the US has met a crisis every 50 years. The most recent was the election of Reagan in 1980. About ten years before a crisis, new socio-economic problems emerge. Trump’s election does not mean a crisis. But it does foresee the arrival of one in the 2020s.
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